1) Big clans always leave server after lost epic/siege. Tales never worked with clans and did not pay them money like other servers do.
2) Tales has big name and a lot of fans waiting for this project only, online can not be 100 people even in theory, these are not facts, this is only your prediction.
3) all depends on the players, if the server is interesting and without paid clans, it will exist for a very long time, about 1 week - this is only your prediction.
4) this is excluded, all the facts that can provide are related to old admin mouse, who did this more than 5 years ag